Climate scenario analysis

Understanding climate risks and opportunities

We supported Modulpac, a Swedish manufacturer of plastic closures and packaging solutions, in conducting a climate scenario analysis to better understand how different climate futures could affect its business.

The analysis covered both physical and transition risks across Modulpac’s own operations and selected parts of its value chain. Risks and opportunities were assessed across different climate pathways and short-, medium- and long-term time horizons towards 2030, 2040 and 2050.

The work included physical risks such as heatwaves, storms, heavy precipitation and flooding, as well as transition risks linked to regulation, carbon pricing, sustainable materials and changing customer expectations.

The analysis helped Modulpac identify its most relevant climate-related risks and opportunities and provided a basis for climate adaptation, investment decisions, operational resilience and long-term strategic planning.

A summary of the results has been published in Modulpac’s Sustainability Report 2025.

Read Modulpac’s Sustainability Report 2025

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